在前两节课程中,我们通过风口和股性的课程,让大家对短线选股有了一个系统性的认识,但光能选股不够,还必须要懂得择时,这节课就给大家好好聊一聊。
我们希望,通过这三节简单的系列教学课程,让大家在春节中有一个学习点,在明年的新行情中大展宏图。

(一)为什么要判断主力?
毫无疑问,主力是推动龙头股的力量。
没有主力,就没有行情可言。跟随主力成本越近,风险越低,收益越大;偏离主力成本越远,风险越大,收益越低。
主力你看不到,摸不着,却能在K线中留下蛛丝马迹。主力喜欢在哪个位置发动行情?很简单,关键位置上的关键k线。
(二)如何跟随主力
1、何为关键位置
狡兔三窟,主力也是如此。对主力而言,在三个区间发动行情最为理想:
1、拐点区间,初期弱转强,以突破下降压力线为标志;
2、震荡区间,第一次平台构筑区间,以平台末端放量大阳线为标志(不需要突破箱体高点);
3、加速区间,第二次及以上平台加速区间,同样以平台末端放量大阳线为标志(不需要突破箱体高点),参考下图

2、何为关键K线
关键K线,就是主力现身的那根K线,以倍量柱作为重要线索。学过黄金切线的同学应该清楚,倍量柱就是在上涨趋势中,每一根放量大涨的阳线,满足以下两个条件即可:
①成交量要求,超过前一根K线量能的一倍以上;
②涨幅要求,当日涨幅超过4%,越大越好。

3、使用方法介绍
一买、二买处于上涨初期,需要结合倍量柱;三买不需要结合倍量柱。
比如中国平安的走势,一买突破下降压力线,倍量确认后,股价上行;二买第一次突破箱体位置,同样需要倍量确认;三买处于行情加速阶段,主力已经深度持股,不再需要倍量柱确认身份,只需大阳线即可确认强度。

(三)案例推演
案例一:券商方向东方证券。
该股在去年11月1日突破下降压力线,当天倍量柱确认主力买入信号,符合关键位置上的倍量柱特征,触发第一类买点;此后第一次进入箱体盘整区域,并在11月29日底部走出倍量上攻K线,触发第二类买点;今年1月9日,该股在突破箱体高点后,通过新的倍量柱结构,确认第三类买点。

案例二:智能家居方向兔宝宝。
去年11月1日突破下降压力线,当日符合倍量柱特征,构成第一类买点;11月24日,该股在第一次上涨箱体低点确认倍量柱K线(当日涨幅超过5%),确认第二类买点;今年1月4日和1月10日,该股分别在第二次箱体低点、第三次箱底低点走出倍量柱K线,形成三买,注意此时主力已处于锁仓状态,三买只要大阳线,不需要走倍量形态。

案例三:数字经济方向英飞拓。
有时候,二买不光只有一个,如英飞拓,在去年11月8日和12月1日,先后在同一个震荡区间中走出标志性倍量柱结构,因此同为二买,在称呼上,按照前后顺序,我们可称之为二买、类二买,作为区别。

案例四:眼科医疗方瑞普眼科。
思考一下,为什么瑞普眼科在箱底低点第一次起倍量的位置,不是二买,第二次起倍量的买点却符合二买?其实原因很简单,第一次箱底倍量位置,股价还面临箱体内部下降压力线的压制,小级别并未出现弱转强,这些细节投资人要注意。

(四)总结
1、主力发动行情性价比最高的区域,是一买、二买和三买;
2、一买、二买为蓄势拉升阶段,需要倍量柱信号确认买点;三买为主力深度锁筹阶段,需要大阳线确认,但对倍量没有特别要求;
3、买点是否触发大涨,需要结合风口、龙头综合看待;
4、如果买入股价不涨反跌,说明风口或龙头预判错误,应在跌破关键买点K线实体低点进行止损。
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