【选股技巧】“下降三法”一旦出现,马上抛出,还要跌!

“三法”是最常见的阴阳线连续形态之一,可视为暂停交易或休整期间,即我们常说的盘整期。内涵是市场对于趋势的持续力产生怀疑,就像上山或下山中的平缓地带,这种情况一般不会改变原有运行趋势。

“三法”形态分为上升三法和下降三法,本期我们拆解后者。

一、什么是“下降三法”?

“下降三法”组合图形为一根大阴线,隔日连续出现三根小阳线,第四天再度出现一根大阴线,即空头整军之后再次对多头发起冲击。
股价处于下降趋势:

【选股技巧】“下降三法”一旦出现,马上抛出,还要跌!_插图

力度表现上,两根阴线实体越长,中间连续三根小阴小阳越小,第五根阴线收盘越低且几根K线引线越小则市场空头进攻力度越强。可见,“下降三法”多出现于一段下跌中继,有时也会出现于一段平台下破初期,一般不会出现在下跌末期。

二、下降三法的意义

具体来看,股价处于下降趋势(通常判定标准是20日均线拐头向下),第一根小阳线的出现使开始紧张起来,而第二天也是同样的情形,过了第三天,当空头看到多头的势力没有足够的力量进一步使得价格上升时,重新恢复信心并开始抛售,最终收盘创出新低,宣告市场休息时间结束,下降趋势继续。
“下降三法”提供2类了卖点
此处一定要牢记一个前提:股价处于下降趋势。
1、“下降三法”形成之前,出现第一根大阴线之后,股价反弹到第一根大阴线开盘价重压阻力位区间附近(或均线压力附近,视具体情况而定);
2、“下降三法”一经确认,抛出筹码要快,果断止损,减少损失。

三、下降三法有哪些识别要点?

1、K线组合形态为大阴线+小阴(阳)+小阴(阳)+小阴(阳)+大阴线,对应量能为放量+缩量+缩量+缩量+放量。
2、成交量是验证“下降三法”是否真实的关键。其中连续三根小阴或者小阳对应量能并无细致要求,可以是任何形式,但相对于第一根和第五根阴线对应量能应呈缩量状态。
3、第五根阴线收盘价应低于第一根阴线收盘价,甚至是低于第一根阴线低点,则形态成立后市看跌。

四、下降三法”的有哪些注意事项?

需要注意的是,“下降三法”同样会出现变形形态,在实战中,中间K线经常会超过3根K线形成,同时未必全是阳线,也有可能为小阴线或十字星。前后两根大阴线也可能会出现跳空等情况。
所以要提醒大家的是:在实际操作中,切不可过于墨守成规,刻舟求剑。我们要做的是理解这个形态表示的意义,抓紧量价关系和关键节点(主要就是三点:下降趋势+首尾两根大阴线放量状态+后一根大阴线破掉第一根大阴线低点后即确认形态成立)。
接下来我们看2个典型的个股案例
中兴通讯(000063.SZ)2020年7月16—23日K线组合、基蛋生物(603387.SH)2020年7月16、24日K线组合。

【选股技巧】“下降三法”一旦出现,马上抛出,还要跌!_插图1

最后记牢一个口诀:下降三法,判明最佳,一旦确认,抛出筹码。

 
以上,就是我们本期拆解的K线组合形态。
我们认为,K线形态为市场多空力量对比真实写照,多空双方旗鼓相当的时候,K线多表现为十字星或小阴小阳线;一方强于另一方则表现为中阴或中阳线;一方大获全胜则表现为大阴或大阳线;出现长上影线为多转空,出现长下引线为空转多。
当他们出现在不同的组合就形成了不一样的市场意义,了解他们,也就明白了当下市场资金、情绪的变化与处境,这就是我们之前说的阅读市场。
阅读市场这是一种能力,更是一种工具,在实际操作中,帮助我们在投资过程中更加准确的执行决策。不过还要强调的是,做决策一定要结合个股基本面、市场整体环境等因素多重考量,如此,才能大大提高准确率。
网页唯一标识识别码
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